418 WTNT80 EGRR 051559 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.09.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 60.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2019 35.0N 60.5W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2019 35.3N 59.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 35.5N 58.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 36.5N 57.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N 79.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2019 32.2N 79.2W STRONG 00UTC 06.09.2019 33.5N 77.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 35.3N 75.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 37.2N 72.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 40.3N 67.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 44.7N 62.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 48.7N 60.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 51.3N 55.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 53.6N 49.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 34.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2019 22.5N 34.9W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2019 23.8N 36.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 26.0N 37.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 28.3N 39.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 30.3N 42.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 31.7N 45.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 33.1N 48.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2019 35.4N 49.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 38.2N 47.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 41.3N 42.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 44.3N 37.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2019 46.5N 31.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2019 48.9N 24.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 119.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2019 20.5N 119.7W STRONG 00UTC 06.09.2019 21.7N 121.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2019 22.6N 123.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2019 23.2N 125.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2019 23.6N 128.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 23.7N 129.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 23.6N 131.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 23.4N 133.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 23.3N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 23.0N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 144.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2019 12.1N 144.2W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2019 11.8N 145.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 11.9N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 12.0N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 12.4N 152.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2019 12.2N 155.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 13.0N 158.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 13.9N 161.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 15.2N 164.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 16.2N 168.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 17.0N 171.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2019 17.7N 174.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2019 18.1N 175.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 32.5N 16.7E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.09.2019 33.9N 17.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051559