000
WTNT80 EGRR 010401

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.09.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.0N 106.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.09.2019  11.0N 106.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.09.2019  13.3N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2019  14.5N 110.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2019  15.2N 112.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2019  16.3N 114.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2019  16.9N 115.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2019  17.5N 117.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2019  17.8N 118.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2019  18.1N 120.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.09.2019  18.7N 122.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2019  19.7N 124.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2019  20.8N 126.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2019  22.2N 128.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N  74.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.09.2019  26.2N  74.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 01.09.2019  26.4N  76.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2019  26.5N  77.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2019  26.7N  78.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2019  26.7N  78.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.09.2019  27.0N  78.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2019  28.1N  79.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2019  29.5N  80.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2019  30.9N  80.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2019  32.5N  79.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2019  34.0N  76.9W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2019  35.2N  74.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2019  36.5N  70.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.0N  23.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.09.2019  14.4N  24.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.09.2019  15.8N  27.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010401