264 
WTNT80 EGRR 311600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.6N 107.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.08.2019   9.6N 107.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.09.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N  73.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.08.2019  25.8N  73.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 01.09.2019  26.3N  75.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2019  26.4N  76.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2019  26.5N  77.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2019  26.5N  78.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2019  26.6N  78.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2019  26.9N  78.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2019  28.1N  79.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.09.2019  29.5N  80.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2019  31.2N  80.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2019  32.8N  78.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2019  34.7N  75.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2019  36.1N  71.5W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.3N 108.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2019  13.9N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2019  14.7N 112.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2019  15.7N 114.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2019  16.4N 116.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2019  16.6N 117.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2019  16.7N 119.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2019  16.7N 121.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2019  16.9N 123.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2019  17.2N 125.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2019  17.4N 127.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.0N 147.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.09.2019  14.0N 147.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.09.2019  14.2N 149.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 311600