414 
WTNT80 EGRR 290359

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.08.2019

             HURRICANE DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N  65.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.08.2019  19.0N  65.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.08.2019  20.9N  66.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2019  22.8N  67.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.08.2019  24.4N  69.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2019  25.6N  70.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2019  26.0N  72.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2019  26.3N  73.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2019  26.6N  75.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2019  26.9N  77.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2019  27.0N  78.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2019  26.7N  79.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2019  26.6N  80.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2019  27.3N  80.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN       ANALYSED POSITION : 34.8N  72.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.08.2019  34.8N  72.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.08.2019  37.2N  70.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2019  41.4N  66.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2019  46.6N  62.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290359