447 
WTNT80 EGRR 270356

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.08.2019

        TROPICAL STORM DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N  59.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.08.2019  13.0N  59.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.08.2019  13.8N  60.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2019  15.2N  62.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2019  16.7N  64.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2019  18.3N  65.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2019  20.0N  67.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2019  21.8N  68.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.08.2019  23.2N  70.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2019  24.5N  72.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2019  25.1N  74.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2019  25.5N  77.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2019  26.0N  79.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2019  26.6N  81.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06L        ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N  72.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.08.2019  31.7N  72.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.08.2019  31.4N  71.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2019  32.0N  72.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2019  32.8N  72.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2019  33.8N  71.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2019  36.6N  69.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2019  39.6N  66.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.08.2019  43.1N  61.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2019  46.7N  56.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 31.08.2019  50.0N  49.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2019  53.7N  43.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 14.7N 161.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.08.2019  15.2N 161.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.08.2019  15.7N 163.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2019  16.1N 165.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2019  16.7N 166.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2019  17.5N 168.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2019  18.2N 169.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2019  19.1N 171.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2019  20.0N 173.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2019  20.8N 175.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2019  21.3N 177.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270356