670 WTNT80 EGRR 260357 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.08.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO ANALYSED POSITION : 26.0N 118.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.08.2019 26.0N 118.3W WEAK 12UTC 26.08.2019 26.3N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.9N 75.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.08.2019 30.9N 75.2W WEAK 12UTC 26.08.2019 31.1N 73.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 31.4N 72.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 31.9N 71.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 32.5N 71.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 33.4N 71.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 34.7N 70.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 37.0N 68.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 40.0N 65.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 45.0N 62.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 48.9N 58.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 52.5N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 54.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.08.2019 11.5N 54.8W WEAK 12UTC 26.08.2019 12.2N 56.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 13.0N 58.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 13.9N 60.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 15.3N 62.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 16.3N 64.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 17.8N 65.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2019 19.4N 67.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2019 20.7N 69.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 21.7N 71.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2019 22.7N 73.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2019 23.3N 76.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2019 23.9N 79.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.0N 156.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2019 12.0N 156.2W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2019 12.8N 157.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 13.4N 158.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 13.9N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 14.6N 161.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 15.0N 162.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 15.8N 163.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 16.6N 165.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 17.5N 166.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 18.3N 167.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 18.8N 169.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2019 19.4N 171.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 15.1N 144.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.08.2019 15.8N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 17.0N 145.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 18.1N 146.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 18.9N 147.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 19.0N 147.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 20.4N 148.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.3N 174.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2019 13.8N 174.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2019 14.4N 176.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 15.3N 177.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 15.7N 179.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2019 16.4N 178.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 260357