121 WTNT80 EGRR 251558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.08.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.4N 76.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2019 30.4N 76.3W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 52.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2019 11.4N 52.2W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2019 11.7N 54.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2019 12.4N 56.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 13.3N 58.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 14.4N 60.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 15.6N 62.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 16.6N 63.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 17.5N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 18.6N 66.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 19.2N 68.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 19.9N 70.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2019 20.2N 72.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 20.6N 74.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO ANALYSED POSITION : 25.1N 117.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2019 25.1N 117.4W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2019 26.5N 117.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2019 27.2N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 12.4N 144.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.08.2019 12.7N 144.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2019 14.0N 145.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 15.4N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 16.5N 147.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 17.3N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 18.2N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 19.5N 148.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 20.9N 148.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 22.2N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 23.3N 150.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 24.2N 151.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 24.7N 153.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 39.4N 61.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2019 39.4N 61.8W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2019 42.5N 59.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.08.2019 45.5N 58.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 47.2N 57.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2019 47.3N 55.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 47.0N 51.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2019 46.0N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.1N 156.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.08.2019 13.1N 156.6W WEAK 12UTC 27.08.2019 13.7N 158.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 14.4N 159.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 15.1N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 15.6N 162.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 16.0N 163.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2019 16.7N 164.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 17.8N 166.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 18.9N 167.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 19.6N 168.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 35.0N 70.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.08.2019 35.0N 70.1W WEAK 00UTC 29.08.2019 36.8N 68.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 39.1N 66.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2019 40.8N 63.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2019 43.9N 59.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2019 45.8N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2019 46.2N 52.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251558