307 
WTNT80 EGRR 221556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL    ANALYSED POSITION : 38.8N  44.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2019  38.8N  44.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.08.2019  37.8N  42.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM IVO        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 113.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2019  15.3N 113.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 23.08.2019  16.2N 114.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2019  17.7N 115.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2019  19.3N 116.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2019  21.1N 117.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2019  23.7N 118.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2019  26.7N 120.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2019  28.6N 122.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.08.2019  29.8N 123.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2019  30.6N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2019  31.4N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2019  32.1N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.4N 131.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.08.2019  13.9N 131.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 26.08.2019  16.0N 131.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2019  17.3N 131.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 13.6N 146.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.08.2019  13.8N 147.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2019  14.7N 149.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019  15.5N 151.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2019  16.2N 152.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2019  17.3N 153.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2019  18.5N 153.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 30.9N  78.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.08.2019  30.9N  78.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.08.2019  32.5N  76.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019  34.0N  74.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.08.2019  35.6N  72.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2019  36.9N  69.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.08.2019  38.0N  66.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221556