406 
WTNT80 EGRR 210356

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L        ANALYSED POSITION : 40.2N  57.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2019  40.2N  57.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.08.2019  40.2N  52.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  40.0N  48.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  39.2N  44.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2019  38.1N  42.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL    ANALYSED POSITION : 40.2N  57.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2019  40.2N  57.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.08.2019  40.2N  52.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  40.0N  48.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  39.2N  44.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2019  38.1N  42.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 123.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2019  15.8N 123.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 103.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2019  14.9N 103.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.08.2019  15.5N 107.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  15.8N 110.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  15.6N 114.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2019  16.0N 116.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2019  17.4N 117.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2019  19.5N 118.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2019  21.4N 119.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2019  24.5N 120.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2019  27.3N 123.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2019  28.4N 125.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.08.2019  29.7N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019  30.6N 127.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.8N 137.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.08.2019  14.2N 138.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2019  14.8N 140.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2019  15.2N 142.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2019  15.5N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2019  15.4N 147.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2019  15.1N 149.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2019  14.7N 151.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2019  14.7N 153.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019  15.2N 154.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 28.6N  80.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.08.2019  28.6N  80.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.08.2019  30.5N  79.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2019  31.6N  78.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210356