089 
WTNT80 EGRR 171557

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 125.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2019  12.7N 125.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N  91.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2019  11.5N  91.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 36.3N  75.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2019  36.3N  75.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.08.2019  37.6N  72.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2019  38.5N  69.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2019  39.1N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  39.5N  62.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2019  40.0N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  41.3N  55.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  42.5N  50.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2019  42.9N  46.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2019  42.8N  44.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.5N  97.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.08.2019  13.5N  99.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2019  13.9N 102.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  14.0N 104.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2019  14.4N 108.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  16.1N 111.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  17.2N 114.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2019  18.2N 117.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2019  20.0N 119.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171557