341 
WTNT80 EGRR 170358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N  93.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.08.2019  11.5N  93.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 17.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 34.3N  76.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2019  34.3N  76.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2019  35.8N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2019  37.0N  72.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2019  38.0N  70.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2019  38.8N  67.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  40.0N  64.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2019  42.0N  60.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2019  44.2N  55.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2019  45.5N  50.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.08.2019  46.4N  45.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.9N  94.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2019  13.9N  96.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2019  13.9N  99.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2019  14.1N 102.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  14.2N 105.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2019  15.0N 108.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2019  16.6N 111.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2019  18.2N 114.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2019  20.1N 117.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 170358