200 
WTNT80 EGRR 161557

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.08.2019

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.0N  95.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2019  14.1N  96.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2019  14.2N  99.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2019  14.3N 102.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  14.4N 105.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2019  15.2N 107.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2019  16.9N 110.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2019  18.4N 112.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 36.2N  75.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2019  36.4N  73.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2019  36.8N  72.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2019  36.9N  70.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2019  36.9N  69.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2019  37.2N  68.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2019  38.5N  65.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2019  40.2N  60.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.9N 138.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.08.2019  15.1N 139.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2019  15.2N 142.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161557