861 
WTNT80 EGRR 140356

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 125.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2019  15.4N 125.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.08.2019  16.7N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.0N 150.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.08.2019  12.5N 151.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.08.2019  13.1N 154.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2019  13.7N 156.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2019  14.3N 158.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2019  15.4N 161.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2019  15.7N 162.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2019  16.0N 165.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 33.5N  75.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2019  33.5N  75.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2019  34.8N  75.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2019  35.8N  76.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2019  36.7N  76.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.4N  96.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2019  14.0N  97.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2019  14.5N  99.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140356