991 WTNT80 EGRR 111556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.08.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 107.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP922019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.08.2019 16.4N 107.9W WEAK 00UTC 12.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 11.0N 165.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2019 11.5N 166.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.08.2019 12.0N 168.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2019 12.4N 169.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2019 12.7N 172.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2019 13.2N 175.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2019 13.6N 177.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.8N 148.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2019 13.3N 150.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.08.2019 13.7N 152.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2019 14.5N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2019 15.2N 156.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 29.3N 87.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.08.2019 29.3N 87.0W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 111556