899 
WTNT80 EGRR 011555

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.08.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L        ANALYSED POSITION : 10.0N  38.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2019  10.0N  38.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ERICK      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 151.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2019  15.5N 151.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 02.08.2019  15.8N 155.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.08.2019  16.1N 157.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  16.6N 159.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  17.1N 162.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  18.1N 164.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  19.0N 165.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  20.1N 167.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  20.8N 168.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2019  21.4N 169.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2019  21.4N 170.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2019  21.9N 171.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2019  22.3N 172.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 131.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2019  14.7N 131.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 02.08.2019  15.8N 134.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2019  16.4N 137.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  17.2N 140.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  17.8N 143.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  18.7N 146.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  19.4N 148.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  20.3N 151.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  21.4N 153.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2019  23.3N 154.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2019  26.0N 154.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2019  29.2N 154.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2019  32.1N 153.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 35.3N  73.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2019  36.5N  70.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2019  37.3N  64.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2019  37.6N  55.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2019  38.8N  48.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2019  39.8N  38.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.08.2019  41.1N  30.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011555