979 
WTNT80 EGRR 310355

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.07.2019

             HURRICANE ERICK      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 144.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.07.2019  13.8N 144.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 31.07.2019  14.4N 146.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2019  14.7N 148.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.08.2019  15.0N 151.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.08.2019  15.3N 154.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2019  15.6N 156.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  16.1N 158.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  16.6N 160.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  17.3N 163.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  18.0N 165.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  18.8N 166.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  19.3N 168.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2019  20.0N 169.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 122.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.07.2019  12.2N 122.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 31.07.2019  12.8N 125.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.08.2019  13.6N 128.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.08.2019  14.0N 131.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2019  14.7N 134.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.08.2019  15.5N 137.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  16.3N 140.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  17.0N 143.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  17.8N 146.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  18.6N 149.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2019  19.7N 152.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2019  21.1N 153.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2019  22.8N 154.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.0N 122.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2019  13.0N 122.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.08.2019  13.0N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  13.4N 126.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  13.6N 128.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  13.8N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  14.2N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2019  14.7N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 17.0N  56.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2019  17.0N  56.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2019  18.1N  59.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 310355