898 
WTNT80 EGRR 301557

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.07.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N  70.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.07.2019  16.2N  70.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ERICK      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 142.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.07.2019  13.1N 142.1W   MODERATE
 00UTC 31.07.2019  13.8N 144.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2019  14.4N 146.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2019  14.9N 148.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2019  15.3N 151.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.08.2019  15.6N 153.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.08.2019  16.0N 155.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  16.4N 158.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  16.9N 160.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  17.7N 162.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  18.5N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  19.3N 166.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  19.7N 167.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 119.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.07.2019  12.2N 119.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 31.07.2019  12.2N 122.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2019  12.8N 125.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2019  13.7N 128.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2019  14.2N 131.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2019  15.0N 134.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2019  15.9N 137.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2019  16.8N 140.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  17.5N 143.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  18.4N 146.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  19.4N 149.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  20.3N 151.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2019  21.2N 153.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 13.3N 121.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2019  13.3N 122.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2019  13.7N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2019  13.9N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2019  14.2N 128.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2019  14.4N 131.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2019  14.5N 133.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 36.7N  58.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2019  36.7N  58.1W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 301557