421 WTNT80 EGRR 290356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.07.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 63.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.07.2019 13.5N 63.5W WEAK 12UTC 29.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ERICK ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 132.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.07.2019 11.4N 132.7W WEAK 12UTC 29.07.2019 11.7N 136.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.07.2019 12.2N 139.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2019 13.0N 142.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2019 13.9N 144.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2019 14.5N 146.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2019 15.1N 148.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2019 15.5N 150.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2019 15.9N 153.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2019 16.3N 155.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2019 16.6N 157.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2019 17.0N 159.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2019 17.5N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 110.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.07.2019 12.4N 110.0W WEAK 12UTC 29.07.2019 12.7N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2019 13.1N 117.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2019 12.7N 120.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2019 12.4N 123.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2019 13.0N 126.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2019 14.4N 129.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2019 15.5N 133.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2019 16.4N 136.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2019 17.2N 139.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2019 18.8N 142.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2019 20.3N 145.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2019 22.3N 147.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 12.5N 122.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.08.2019 12.5N 122.0W WEAK 00UTC 03.08.2019 12.0N 125.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2019 11.9N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2019 12.5N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 290356