886 WTNT80 EGRR 251555 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.07.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 120.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.07.2019 21.9N 120.5W WEAK 00UTC 26.07.2019 22.3N 121.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 14.2N 128.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.07.2019 14.2N 130.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.07.2019 15.0N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2019 16.3N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2019 17.1N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2019 18.1N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2019 18.8N 145.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 10.3N 116.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.07.2019 10.3N 116.3W WEAK 00UTC 30.07.2019 10.0N 119.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2019 9.8N 123.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2019 9.8N 126.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2019 9.8N 130.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 35.0N 69.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2019 36.0N 69.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2019 38.4N 68.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251555