948 WTNT80 EGRR 091555 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.07.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N 85.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.07.2019 30.0N 85.3W WEAK 00UTC 10.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 36.5N 66.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.07.2019 36.5N 66.8W WEAK 00UTC 10.07.2019 37.0N 61.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.07.2019 38.3N 55.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 28.2N 87.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2019 28.1N 88.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.07.2019 27.8N 90.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.07.2019 28.3N 91.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.07.2019 28.6N 92.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.07.2019 29.8N 93.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.07.2019 31.5N 94.2W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.07.2019 33.2N 94.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.07.2019 34.8N 95.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.07.2019 36.2N 95.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091555