539 
WTNT80 EGRR 041555

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.07.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 10.7N 104.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2019  10.7N 104.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE BARBARA    ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 129.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2019  15.8N 129.7W    STRONG
 00UTC 05.07.2019  16.7N 131.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2019  17.7N 133.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2019  18.0N 135.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2019  17.9N 138.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2019  17.8N 140.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2019  17.7N 144.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019  17.7N 148.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 15.7N 119.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2019  16.4N 120.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.07.2019  17.0N 123.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019  18.3N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019  19.6N 126.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2019  20.6N 127.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2019  21.4N 128.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 :  8.3N  96.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2019   8.3N  96.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.07.2019   8.6N  97.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019   9.0N  98.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2019   9.4N 100.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2019   9.8N 102.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2019  10.8N 104.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2019  12.2N 105.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 34.9N  72.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.07.2019  34.9N  72.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.07.2019  35.3N  70.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2019  35.4N  67.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 041555