429 
WTNT80 EGRR 021556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.07.2019

             HURRICANE BARBARA    ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 121.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2019  12.2N 121.9W   INTENSE
 00UTC 03.07.2019  12.9N 124.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2019  13.6N 126.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2019  14.7N 128.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2019  16.1N 129.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.07.2019  17.5N 131.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2019  18.6N 133.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2019  19.0N 135.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2019  19.2N 137.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2019  18.9N 140.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2019  18.5N 144.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.2N 120.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2019  13.7N 121.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2019  15.5N 123.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019  16.7N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019  17.6N 127.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 :  7.6N  99.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2019   7.8N 100.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021556