090 
WTNT80 EGRR 010358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.07.2019

        TROPICAL STORM BARBARA    ANALYSED POSITION : 10.9N 113.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.07.2019  10.9N 113.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 01.07.2019  11.0N 116.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.07.2019  11.2N 119.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.07.2019  12.0N 122.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2019  12.5N 124.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2019  13.2N 126.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2019  14.1N 128.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2019  15.2N 129.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2019  16.5N 131.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2019  17.5N 133.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2019  17.9N 135.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2019  17.9N 137.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2019  18.0N 140.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 10.6N 116.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.07.2019  10.6N 116.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.07.2019  10.7N 118.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2019  11.4N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2019  11.7N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 :  7.8N  93.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.07.2019   7.8N  94.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2019   8.0N  96.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2019   8.5N  99.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.1N 111.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.07.2019  13.1N 111.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.07.2019  14.7N 114.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2019  16.3N 118.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010357