681 WTNT80 EGRR 211558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.05.2019 TROPICAL STORM JAGUAR ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9S 33.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : SA022019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.05.2019 28.9S 33.7W WEAK 00UTC 22.05.2019 30.5S 31.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.05.2019 32.0S 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.05.2019 34.9S 24.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.05.2019 39.1S 14.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.05.2019 44.1S 4.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.05.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA ANALYSED POSITION : 30.6N 68.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.05.2019 30.6N 68.9W WEAK 00UTC 22.05.2019 31.6N 67.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.05.2019 31.9N 64.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.05.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 10.3N 89.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.05.2019 10.3N 89.3W WEAK 12UTC 25.05.2019 9.7N 89.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.05.2019 9.4N 89.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.05.2019 9.2N 89.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.05.2019 9.2N 88.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.05.2019 9.2N 88.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211558