000
WTNT80 EGRR 010355

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.11.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E        ANALYSED POSITION :  8.3N 129.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.11.2018   8.3N 129.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.11.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 40.3N  48.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.11.2018  40.3N  48.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 01.11.2018  44.9N  45.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2018  49.0N  38.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2018  53.2N  33.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.11.2018  54.7N  27.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2018  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 14.5N 110.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.11.2018  14.8N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2018  15.2N 109.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2018  15.3N 108.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2018  15.6N 106.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.11.2018  16.7N 106.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.11.2018  18.0N 106.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2018  19.6N 105.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2018  21.7N 105.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.11.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.7N 118.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.11.2018  12.4N 118.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2018  13.1N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2018  13.1N 118.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2018  13.9N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2018  14.4N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2018  15.7N 119.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2018  17.0N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2018  18.1N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010355