000
WTNT80 EGRR 301556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.6N 124.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.10.2018   9.6N 124.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.0N  57.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.10.2018  29.0N  57.9W    STRONG
 00UTC 31.10.2018  31.7N  56.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2018  35.4N  52.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2018  41.0N  48.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  45.2N  44.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.11.2018  49.8N  37.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.11.2018  53.1N  31.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.11.2018  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.8N 128.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2018  11.1N 128.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.11.2018  11.4N 127.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2018  12.2N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2018  12.4N 128.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2018  12.8N 128.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2018  12.5N 129.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2018  12.5N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2018  13.0N 130.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.9N 113.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.11.2018  14.7N 113.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.11.2018  15.7N 112.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2018  16.6N 112.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2018  17.0N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 301556