000
WTNT80 EGRR 290356

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 105.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP922018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2018  11.4N 105.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 25.5N  56.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2018  25.5N  56.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  25.5N  58.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  26.7N  58.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.10.2018  28.6N  58.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2018  31.3N  56.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.10.2018  34.2N  53.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.11.2018  38.8N  49.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  42.4N  45.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.11.2018  45.2N  39.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.11.2018  48.1N  31.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2018  52.2N  17.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2018  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 124.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.11.2018  11.5N 125.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  11.4N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2018  11.5N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2018  12.1N 126.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2018  13.2N 125.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2018  13.9N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2018  14.4N 126.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 14.1N 115.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.11.2018  14.1N 115.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.11.2018  14.2N 115.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2018  15.0N 116.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2018  15.5N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2018  15.4N 114.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2018  15.8N 113.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290356