000
WTNT80 EGRR 261556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 24.5N  45.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.10.2018  24.5N  45.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.10.2018  26.4N  45.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2018  27.8N  47.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2018  26.4N  51.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.10.2018  25.9N  53.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2018  26.1N  56.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  26.6N  57.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  28.0N  58.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2018  30.3N  58.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 31.10.2018  34.1N  55.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2018  39.0N  51.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2018  45.0N  46.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  48.3N  42.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.1N 103.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2018  11.3N 105.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.10.2018  11.7N 107.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  12.4N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2018  13.2N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2018  13.4N 115.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2018  14.2N 117.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2018  15.6N 118.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2018  16.4N 119.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 19.4N 164.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.10.2018  19.4N 164.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.10.2018  21.1N 162.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2018  24.9N 159.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2018  28.1N 156.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2018  32.7N 150.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 261556