000
WTNT80 EGRR 251556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N  48.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2018  21.7N  48.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.10.2018  23.1N  47.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2018  25.0N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2018  26.8N  45.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2018  28.5N  47.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2018  27.9N  51.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.10.2018  26.9N  54.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.10.2018  26.1N  57.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  25.6N  59.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  26.2N  59.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.10.2018  28.3N  58.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2018  31.6N  56.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.10.2018  36.0N  51.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.0N 118.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2018  14.0N 118.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.10.2018  13.9N 120.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2018  13.8N 121.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.4N 161.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.10.2018  12.4N 161.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.10.2018  13.5N 162.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2018  14.7N 163.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2018  15.3N 163.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  15.6N 164.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  16.5N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2018  18.3N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2018  21.5N 162.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2018  22.5N 161.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.7N 116.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.10.2018  13.7N 116.0W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251556