000
WTNT80 EGRR 231556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION VICENTE    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 102.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP232018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2018  18.0N 102.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE WILLA      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 107.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP242018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2018  21.0N 107.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 24.10.2018  22.5N 106.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.8N 115.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.10.2018  13.2N 116.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2018  13.4N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2018  13.5N 116.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2018  13.3N 117.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 26.1N  47.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.10.2018  26.4N  49.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 28.10.2018  25.8N  52.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2018  25.2N  54.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2018  25.5N  57.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  25.5N  59.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.5N 160.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.10.2018  13.9N 161.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2018  14.7N 161.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2018  15.2N 162.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  16.2N 162.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231556