000 WTNT80 EGRR 230356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 116.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP912018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2018 11.7N 116.5W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM VICENTE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 101.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP232018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2018 15.7N 101.6W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2018 17.9N 102.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE WILLA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.0N 107.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP242018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2018 20.0N 107.4W MODERATE 12UTC 23.10.2018 21.0N 107.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2018 22.1N 106.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.3N 115.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.10.2018 13.4N 115.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.10.2018 13.5N 116.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2018 13.4N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2018 13.0N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 34.2N 77.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.10.2018 36.8N 75.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.10.2018 38.6N 74.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2018 42.4N 73.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2018 47.1N 74.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 26.9N 48.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.10.2018 26.9N 48.0W WEAK 00UTC 28.10.2018 27.2N 51.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2018 26.5N 55.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 160.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.10.2018 14.0N 160.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2018 14.7N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2018 15.2N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 230356