000
WTNT80 EGRR 211556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.10.2018

        TROPICAL STORM VICENTE    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N  97.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP232018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2018  14.4N  97.1W   MODERATE
 00UTC 22.10.2018  14.2N  99.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.10.2018  15.8N 101.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2018  18.8N 107.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2018  19.4N 107.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.10.2018  20.2N 107.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2018  22.8N 105.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE WILLA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 106.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP242018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2018  16.4N 106.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 22.10.2018  17.1N 107.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.10.2018  18.2N 107.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2018  18.8N 107.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2018  19.4N 107.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2018  20.2N 107.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2018  22.8N 105.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 29.5N  86.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.10.2018  29.5N  86.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.10.2018  31.0N  81.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2018  37.9N  76.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211556