000 WTNT80 EGRR 190356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.3N 103.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2018 14.3N 103.5W WEAK 12UTC 19.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 94.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP902018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2018 14.0N 94.1W WEAK 12UTC 19.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 15.2N 107.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.10.2018 15.2N 107.6W WEAK 00UTC 22.10.2018 16.2N 107.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2018 16.6N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2018 17.2N 109.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2018 18.2N 109.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2018 19.8N 109.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.10.2018 22.2N 108.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 25.10.2018 26.1N 104.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 8.4N 90.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.10.2018 8.4N 90.9W WEAK 12UTC 24.10.2018 9.0N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2018 9.9N 94.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 190356