000 WTNT80 EGRR 170356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 94.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2018 16.1N 94.4W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2018 14.2N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2018 13.3N 94.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.7N 94.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 13.8N 95.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 15.2N 98.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2018 16.1N 102.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2018 16.0N 104.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2018 17.4N 105.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2018 19.0N 105.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 22.10.2018 21.3N 105.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2018 23.1N 106.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 23.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TARA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 105.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP222018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2018 19.3N 105.9W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 13.3N 94.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2018 13.3N 94.7W WEAK 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.7N 94.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 13.8N 95.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 15.2N 98.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2018 16.1N 102.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2018 16.0N 104.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2018 17.4N 105.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2018 19.0N 105.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 22.10.2018 21.3N 105.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2018 23.1N 106.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 23.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 13.1N 116.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.10.2018 13.1N 116.2W WEAK 00UTC 22.10.2018 13.3N 115.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2018 13.2N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2018 13.6N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170356