000
WTNT80 EGRR 141556

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.10.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 102.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2018  17.2N 102.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 17.3N 104.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2018  17.3N 104.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.10.2018  17.3N 104.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2018  17.9N 104.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2018  18.8N 104.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2018  19.5N 105.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2018  19.2N 106.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2018  18.8N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2018  19.0N 106.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 10.2N 138.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2018  10.6N 139.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.10.2018  10.8N 139.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2018  11.6N 139.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2018  12.1N 140.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2018  12.6N 140.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2018  13.1N 141.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2018  13.5N 141.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.0N 113.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.10.2018  12.0N 113.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.10.2018  12.4N 113.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2018  13.0N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2018  13.8N 111.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2018  14.3N 109.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2018  14.7N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141556