000 WTNT80 EGRR 131556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 100.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2018 16.2N 100.9W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.3N 14.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2018 37.3N 14.5W STRONG 00UTC 14.10.2018 42.3N 7.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 46.1N 3.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2018 49.4N 3.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 16.3N 103.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.10.2018 16.9N 103.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 17.10.2018 18.0N 103.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2018 18.6N 105.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2018 19.0N 105.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 19.4N 106.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 20.9N 107.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 22.6N 108.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 11.9N 114.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 11.9N 114.0W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2018 12.1N 112.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 13.0N 111.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 13.8N 110.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 14.3N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.1N 93.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 14.1N 93.3W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2018 14.1N 93.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 14.2N 94.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2018 14.4N 96.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 14.8N 98.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 11.7N 138.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.0N 138.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2018 12.7N 140.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 13.4N 140.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131556