000 WTNT80 EGRR 101610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2018 HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 28.0N 42.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.0N 42.6W STRONG 00UTC 11.10.2018 27.7N 42.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 28.6N 40.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 30.0N 36.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 31.4N 31.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 32.1N 26.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 31.7N 22.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 30.6N 22.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 29.2N 23.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 27.7N 26.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2018 27.2N 28.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2018 27.1N 30.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2018 27.9N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MICHAEL ANALYSED POSITION : 29.0N 86.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2018 29.0N 86.3W STRONG 00UTC 11.10.2018 31.6N 84.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 34.2N 81.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 36.5N 76.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 38.9N 70.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 42.6N 60.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 45.8N 47.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 47.6N 32.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 48.4N 20.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 47.5N 11.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2018 45.9N 6.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM NADINE ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N 31.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2018 12.6N 31.4W MODERATE 00UTC 11.10.2018 13.3N 32.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 13.6N 33.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.2N 35.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 14.4N 36.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 14.7N 37.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 124.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2018 18.1N 124.8W STRONG 00UTC 11.10.2018 19.2N 122.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 21.4N 119.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 23.9N 116.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 26.5N 113.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 29.4N 109.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 32.1N 101.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 32.8N 98.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2018 34.5N 95.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101610