000 WTNT80 EGRR 100400 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.10.2018 HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 42.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2018 29.7N 42.6W STRONG 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.1N 42.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 27.8N 42.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 28.4N 40.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 29.7N 37.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 31.0N 33.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 31.4N 27.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 30.9N 23.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 29.2N 23.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 27.6N 24.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 26.1N 27.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2018 24.7N 29.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2018 23.8N 31.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MICHAEL ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 86.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2018 26.7N 86.5W STRONG 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.7N 86.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 31.1N 84.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 33.6N 81.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 35.9N 77.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 38.6N 72.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 42.0N 63.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 46.1N 51.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 48.4N 38.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 49.2N 23.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 48.7N 15.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2018 46.6N 9.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2018 44.7N 7.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM NADINE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N 30.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2018 11.2N 30.5W WEAK 12UTC 10.10.2018 12.2N 31.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 13.0N 32.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 13.7N 32.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.5N 33.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 15.0N 34.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 15.5N 36.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2018 16.3N 38.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 17.3N 41.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 126.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2018 17.0N 126.6W STRONG 12UTC 10.10.2018 17.8N 124.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 19.1N 122.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 21.2N 119.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 23.6N 116.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 25.9N 113.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 28.6N 110.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 31.0N 103.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 32.5N 99.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2018 33.6N 95.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.5N 82.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2018 14.5N 82.5W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2018 14.1N 85.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100400