000 WTNT80 EGRR 091558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.10.2018 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.6N 43.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2018 31.6N 43.5W MODERATE 00UTC 10.10.2018 29.5N 43.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.0N 43.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 27.5N 42.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 28.3N 41.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 29.8N 38.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 31.4N 33.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 31.7N 29.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 31.4N 25.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 30.2N 24.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 28.9N 25.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 27.7N 28.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2018 26.4N 30.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MICHAEL ANALYSED POSITION : 24.6N 86.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2018 24.6N 86.1W STRONG 00UTC 10.10.2018 26.5N 86.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.5N 86.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 30.7N 84.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 33.0N 81.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 35.5N 78.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 38.0N 73.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 41.1N 65.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 45.3N 54.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 47.9N 41.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 49.2N 27.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 49.6N 16.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2018 47.2N 10.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY TROPICAL STORM NADINE ANALYSED POSITION : 9.9N 30.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2018 9.9N 30.3W WEAK 00UTC 10.10.2018 10.9N 31.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 11.9N 32.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 13.2N 32.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 14.1N 33.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 15.0N 34.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 15.8N 35.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 16.5N 36.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2018 17.3N 38.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 18.0N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2018 18.6N 43.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 128.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2018 16.2N 128.2W STRONG 00UTC 10.10.2018 16.7N 126.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 17.7N 124.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 18.9N 122.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 20.8N 119.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 23.2N 116.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 25.5N 113.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 28.1N 110.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 30.9N 104.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091558