000 WTNT80 EGRR 071559 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.1N 24.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2018 31.1N 24.8W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2018 32.2N 24.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 86.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2018 18.7N 86.7W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2018 19.5N 85.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 20.5N 85.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 22.2N 85.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.10.2018 23.8N 85.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 25.5N 85.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 27.5N 85.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 29.5N 83.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 31.5N 81.8W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 33.4N 78.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 35.5N 75.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 38.5N 69.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 43.3N 59.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 36.4N 51.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2018 36.4N 51.6W MODERATE 00UTC 08.10.2018 36.0N 49.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 35.3N 47.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.8N 45.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 31.7N 43.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 29.5N 42.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 27.8N 42.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 27.4N 42.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 28.0N 40.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 29.5N 36.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 31.3N 31.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 32.6N 25.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 33.0N 20.1W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 126.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2018 14.7N 126.6W STRONG 00UTC 08.10.2018 14.9N 127.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 15.3N 128.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 16.1N 128.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 16.7N 127.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 17.4N 126.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 18.4N 124.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 20.2N 121.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 22.4N 118.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 25.0N 115.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 28.7N 112.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 33.1N 108.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.1N 35.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2018 12.5N 35.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 13.7N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.7N 37.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 15.5N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 16.1N 38.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2018 16.4N 40.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 31.4N 113.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2018 31.4N 113.9W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071559