000 WTNT80 EGRR 070359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N 25.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2018 31.7N 25.7W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2018 31.4N 24.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 31.7N 24.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 86.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2018 17.4N 86.9W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2018 18.2N 86.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 19.2N 85.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 20.1N 85.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 22.5N 84.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.10.2018 24.2N 85.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 26.2N 85.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.2N 84.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 30.3N 83.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 32.4N 80.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 34.5N 76.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 36.9N 71.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 40.0N 64.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.5N 53.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2018 37.5N 53.6W MODERATE 12UTC 07.10.2018 36.3N 51.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 35.9N 49.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 35.3N 47.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.7N 45.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 31.4N 43.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 28.8N 43.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 26.9N 43.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 26.4N 42.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 27.1N 41.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 28.7N 38.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 30.4N 34.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 30.9N 30.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 125.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2018 14.4N 125.1W INTENSE 12UTC 07.10.2018 14.5N 126.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2018 14.9N 127.4W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2018 15.4N 128.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 16.1N 127.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 16.8N 127.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 17.6N 125.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 18.7N 123.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 20.3N 120.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 22.3N 118.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 24.4N 115.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 27.3N 111.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 31.2N 108.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.8N 35.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2018 12.6N 35.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 13.5N 37.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.6N 37.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 15.2N 38.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 15.5N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070359