000 WTNT80 EGRR 061558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 87.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 13.1N 87.8W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 86.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 17.2N 86.3W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2018 17.4N 85.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 19.0N 86.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 20.0N 85.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 20.8N 85.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 22.0N 85.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.10.2018 23.7N 85.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 25.4N 86.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 27.4N 85.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 29.5N 84.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 31.5N 82.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 33.5N 79.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 35.3N 74.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.5N 55.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 37.5N 55.8W MODERATE 00UTC 07.10.2018 37.6N 53.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 36.4N 51.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 35.9N 49.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 35.4N 48.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.9N 45.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 30.6N 44.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 28.0N 43.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 26.2N 43.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 25.8N 42.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 26.7N 41.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 28.4N 38.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 29.9N 35.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 123.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 14.7N 123.9W INTENSE 00UTC 07.10.2018 14.4N 125.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 14.4N 126.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 14.8N 127.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2018 15.5N 127.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 16.2N 127.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2018 17.0N 126.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 18.0N 125.4W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 19.2N 123.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 21.1N 120.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 23.6N 117.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 26.8N 113.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 30.7N 109.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY TROPICAL STORM WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 164.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 35.0N 164.5W MODERATE 00UTC 07.10.2018 41.4N 160.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 48.1N 154.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.3N 40.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.3N 40.7W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2018 15.3N 41.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061558