000 WTNT80 EGRR 051559 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 86.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2018 11.7N 86.9W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 35.8N 58.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2018 35.8N 58.2W MODERATE 00UTC 06.10.2018 36.7N 57.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2018 37.2N 57.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2018 37.0N 54.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 36.7N 52.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 35.8N 51.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 34.9N 49.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.4N 47.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 31.6N 46.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 29.4N 45.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.4N 44.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 28.4N 42.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 29.5N 38.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 121.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2018 15.9N 121.5W INTENSE 00UTC 06.10.2018 15.4N 122.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2018 15.0N 123.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2018 14.8N 124.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 15.0N 125.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 15.7N 126.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 16.5N 126.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 17.5N 125.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 18.4N 124.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 19.4N 122.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 20.9N 119.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 23.2N 116.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 26.6N 113.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 30.9N 168.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2018 30.9N 168.3W MODERATE 00UTC 06.10.2018 32.7N 166.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2018 35.6N 164.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2018 41.9N 160.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 48.6N 153.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 17.4N 85.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 17.8N 86.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.10.2018 18.4N 86.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 19.0N 86.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 19.9N 86.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 20.8N 87.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 21.9N 87.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 23.2N 87.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 25.0N 87.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2018 27.7N 87.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 30.5N 86.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 33.0N 85.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051559