000 WTNT80 EGRR 050402 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 88.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.10.2018 13.9N 88.5W WEAK 12UTC 05.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N 58.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.10.2018 34.2N 58.1W MODERATE 12UTC 05.10.2018 36.2N 58.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2018 36.4N 58.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2018 37.2N 56.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2018 36.7N 54.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 36.1N 53.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 35.3N 52.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 35.0N 51.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.6N 49.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 32.3N 48.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 30.9N 48.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 30.6N 48.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 30.9N 46.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 120.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.10.2018 15.8N 120.2W INTENSE 12UTC 05.10.2018 16.1N 121.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2018 15.7N 122.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.10.2018 15.3N 123.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2018 14.9N 124.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 14.9N 125.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 15.3N 126.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 16.1N 126.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2018 17.0N 126.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 18.0N 124.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 19.1N 123.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 20.5N 121.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 22.7N 118.6W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY HURRICANE WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 167.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.10.2018 29.7N 167.1W STRONG 12UTC 05.10.2018 31.2N 168.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2018 33.0N 167.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.10.2018 36.0N 164.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2018 42.8N 159.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 50.0N 151.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 26.9N 31.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2018 26.9N 31.7W WEAK 12UTC 06.10.2018 26.2N 29.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2018 26.6N 26.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 17.9N 86.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2018 17.9N 86.9W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2018 18.7N 86.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2018 19.9N 87.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2018 20.3N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2018 21.6N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2018 22.4N 88.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2018 23.9N 88.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 26.0N 88.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.9N 87.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 32.0N 85.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 9.9N 145.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2018 9.9N 145.2W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2018 10.6N 144.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050402