701 WTNT80 EGRR 251649 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.8N 75.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2018 31.8N 75.4W WEAK 00UTC 26.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 46.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2018 11.1N 46.6W WEAK 00UTC 26.09.2018 11.1N 50.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2018 11.0N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2018 11.9N 55.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 12.7N 57.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2018 13.6N 59.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 14.2N 61.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2018 14.7N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 15.1N 65.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 15.3N 67.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 15.3N 69.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.8N 45.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2018 32.8N 45.4W WEAK 00UTC 26.09.2018 32.9N 42.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2018 35.6N 39.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2018 37.4N 41.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 37.8N 43.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2018 36.9N 45.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2018 36.4N 47.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 35.3N 49.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 33.9N 50.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.09.2018 34.0N 50.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 34.4N 51.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 34.7N 52.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2018 35.0N 51.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM 20E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 107.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2018 14.5N 107.9W WEAK 00UTC 26.09.2018 15.2N 109.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2018 16.1N 111.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2018 16.4N 113.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 16.6N 115.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2018 16.7N 117.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 16.9N 119.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 17.5N 120.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.09.2018 19.1N 120.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 21.1N 121.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2018 22.6N 121.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2018 24.1N 121.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2018 25.2N 121.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.9N 100.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.09.2018 11.6N 101.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 12.5N 104.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 13.0N 106.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 12.7N 109.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2018 12.8N 111.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.0N 158.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.09.2018 14.0N 158.8W WEAK 00UTC 30.09.2018 14.0N 162.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 14.4N 165.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 14.2N 169.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2018 14.0N 171.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251649