252 WTNT80 EGRR 250405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.1N 74.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2018 30.1N 74.2W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 106.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2018 13.5N 106.9W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 10.8N 42.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2018 10.8N 42.2W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2018 10.8N 45.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2018 11.4N 49.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2018 11.7N 52.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2018 12.5N 54.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 13.2N 56.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2018 13.9N 58.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 14.5N 60.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2018 15.2N 62.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 15.6N 64.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 16.0N 67.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 16.0N 69.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 33.0N 47.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2018 33.0N 47.3W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2018 32.5N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2018 32.5N 42.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2018 34.4N 39.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2018 36.6N 39.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 37.4N 41.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2018 37.2N 44.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2018 37.2N 46.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 36.3N 49.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 35.6N 50.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 35.1N 51.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 34.9N 51.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 35.0N 52.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 16.0N 111.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.09.2018 16.4N 112.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2018 16.6N 115.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2018 16.6N 116.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 17.1N 117.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 17.8N 119.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 19.4N 119.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 21.1N 121.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 22.3N 121.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 23.9N 120.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 10.6N 96.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.09.2018 10.7N 97.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 11.3N 98.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 12.2N 100.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 12.7N 102.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 12.6N 104.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2018 12.3N 106.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2018 12.5N 108.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 11.1N 159.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.09.2018 11.1N 159.1W WEAK 00UTC 30.09.2018 12.0N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 12.7N 165.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2018 12.7N 169.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 250405