730 WTNT80 EGRR 241605 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 107.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2018 13.0N 107.9W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 29.2N 72.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2018 29.2N 72.2W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 9.8N 38.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2018 9.8N 38.0W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2018 10.3N 41.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2018 11.0N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2018 11.7N 48.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2018 12.2N 51.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2018 13.0N 54.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2018 14.0N 55.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2018 15.0N 56.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 15.6N 57.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2018 16.0N 58.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 16.1N 60.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 16.6N 61.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 17.3N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.8N 48.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2018 32.8N 48.1W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2018 33.0N 47.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2018 32.8N 45.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2018 32.5N 43.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2018 34.0N 39.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2018 36.6N 39.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.09.2018 36.7N 40.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2018 37.5N 42.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2018 37.0N 45.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 35.3N 48.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 34.9N 49.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.09.2018 35.4N 50.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 36.0N 51.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 32.6N 76.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.09.2018 33.1N 77.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.09.2018 35.0N 75.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2018 37.2N 72.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2018 39.0N 69.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2018 40.8N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2018 43.5N 65.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 46.7N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 16.4N 117.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.09.2018 16.4N 117.3W WEAK 12UTC 28.09.2018 17.0N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 18.4N 119.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 20.2N 120.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 21.9N 120.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 23.3N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 97.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.09.2018 11.4N 98.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2018 12.2N 100.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2018 13.0N 102.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2018 13.3N 105.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 13.3N 107.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.8N 157.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.09.2018 13.0N 159.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.09.2018 13.6N 163.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2018 13.8N 166.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241605