439 
WTNT80 EGRR 190402

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.09.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 179.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2018  21.1N 179.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.09.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E        ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 112.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2018  22.0N 112.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.09.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE      ANALYSED POSITION : 30.3N  28.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2018  30.3N  28.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.09.2018  30.0N  29.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2018  29.7N  30.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 35.1N  68.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2018  34.8N  66.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.09.2018  32.8N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2018  31.0N  65.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2018  29.3N  66.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2018  29.2N  67.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2018  28.6N  68.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2018  29.2N  70.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 32.7N  44.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2018  33.2N  43.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2018  34.5N  43.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2018  34.7N  46.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2018  33.7N  47.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2018  32.8N  47.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2018  32.8N  46.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 24.1N 164.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2018  25.2N 164.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2018  29.5N 163.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2018  33.3N 165.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2018  35.3N 166.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190402