122 WTNT80 EGRR 051603 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 27.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2018 12.0N 27.3W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 45.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2018 21.6N 45.5W MODERATE 00UTC 06.09.2018 22.7N 47.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 23.6N 49.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2018 24.1N 51.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 24.2N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 24.1N 54.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 23.9N 56.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 23.6N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 23.3N 58.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 23.2N 59.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 23.8N 60.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 24.4N 63.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2018 24.5N 66.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 89.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2018 32.0N 89.7W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2018 32.9N 91.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 33.4N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 33.6N 93.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 33.9N 93.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 34.7N 94.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 35.9N 93.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 36.6N 92.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 37.8N 90.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 39.2N 87.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 42.0N 83.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 43.0N 80.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE NORMAN ANALYSED POSITION : 19.8N 147.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2018 19.8N 147.4W STRONG 00UTC 06.09.2018 20.0N 148.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 20.4N 150.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2018 21.8N 150.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 22.8N 151.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 23.4N 153.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2018 24.3N 155.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 25.2N 156.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 26.0N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 26.5N 158.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 27.2N 159.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 28.6N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 121.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2018 16.9N 121.9W INTENSE 00UTC 06.09.2018 17.3N 124.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2018 18.1N 126.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 19.1N 129.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 20.2N 132.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 21.4N 135.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2018 22.2N 138.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 22.6N 140.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 22.7N 143.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 23.0N 145.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 23.1N 147.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 23.1N 148.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2018 22.8N 150.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.8N 34.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2018 12.8N 34.0W WEAK 00UTC 08.09.2018 13.9N 33.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 15.0N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 16.0N 35.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 16.6N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 17.5N 39.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 18.3N 41.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 19.1N 43.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2018 19.7N 45.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.9N 119.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2018 13.9N 119.9W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2018 15.2N 120.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 16.2N 121.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 18.0N 122.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2018 19.2N 124.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051603