377 WTNT80 EGRR 050404 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 23.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2018 12.3N 23.6W WEAK 12UTC 05.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 43.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2018 20.5N 43.9W MODERATE 12UTC 05.09.2018 21.6N 45.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2018 22.6N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 23.6N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 24.2N 51.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 24.4N 52.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 24.3N 54.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 24.2N 55.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 24.5N 56.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2018 24.7N 57.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2018 25.1N 59.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.09.2018 25.2N 61.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2018 25.2N 63.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM GORDON ANALYSED POSITION : 29.6N 87.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2018 29.6N 87.9W MODERATE 12UTC 05.09.2018 31.7N 89.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2018 33.0N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 33.3N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 33.4N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 33.9N 94.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 34.5N 95.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 35.6N 94.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 36.8N 93.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 38.5N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 40.0N 86.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 42.3N 83.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 43.6N 80.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE NORMAN ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 145.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2018 19.5N 145.1W STRONG 12UTC 05.09.2018 19.5N 147.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2018 20.0N 148.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 20.5N 149.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 21.4N 150.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2018 22.2N 151.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 23.0N 153.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2018 24.0N 155.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 25.3N 156.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 25.9N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 26.6N 158.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 27.2N 159.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 28.4N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 119.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2018 16.5N 119.7W INTENSE 12UTC 05.09.2018 16.9N 121.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2018 17.6N 124.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 18.3N 127.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 19.2N 130.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2018 20.4N 132.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 21.7N 135.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2018 22.5N 138.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 23.0N 140.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 23.2N 143.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 23.7N 145.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 24.2N 146.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 24.2N 148.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.5N 34.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2018 12.8N 34.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 13.4N 34.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 14.4N 34.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 15.6N 34.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 16.3N 36.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2018 16.8N 38.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2018 17.3N 40.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2018 18.4N 41.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 17.1N 118.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.09.2018 17.5N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050404